Chris Uggen's Blog: stats n' beer

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

stats n' beer

if you ever interview at minnesota, you can expect to spend a lunch hour discussing teaching with faculty and grad students. i was initially skeptical about this practice, but now i really look forward to the discussions. it is typically a loose, free-form hour, but it helps us communicate that we actually like teaching here and that we especially like rock star researchers who are thoughtful about teaching.

this week, we got to discussing social statistics. i always like to sprinkle my crim lectures with tales of sutherland or hirschi or the convention bar tabs of certain criminologists. i know fewer stories about statisticians, but when i taught intro stats i loved the one about the inordinately useful student's t-distribution.

a real statistician can correct me on this, but i believe that the t-distribution was introduced in biometrika in 1908 by william gosset, who worked as a brewer for guinness in dublin.* he adopted the pseudonym "student" because the brewery was concerned about revealing trade secrets in print. mr. gosset's work was popularized in part by the great r.a. fisher, who referred to the t-distribution as student's distribution. the story is better told elsewhere and there are a few nice wiki versions floating around as well.

i have it on good authority that some soc and crim students enjoy a frosty beverage from time to time, so they might appreciate such nuggets. i'd like to know precisely how the brewery plied these statistical tools, however, to flesh out the story. comparing the purity levels of beer from two separate vats? i'm also intrigued that claude guinness would recruit the best and brightest from cambridge and oxford to do brewery work, but perhaps this practice helps account for guinness' great success over the past century.

*Student. 1908. "The Probable Error of a Mean." Biometrika 6: 1-25.

6 Comments:

At 10:33 AM, Blogger Mike W. said...

Beer making can be a very finicky thing, and consistency is damn near impossible without extreme control of every aspect, from sanitation, to water, the length of the boil, etc.

It may be well possible that Gosset were comparing measurements to find out what were the crucial elements to control when trying to make each batch of Guinness just as good as the last. At least, that's coming from someone with rudimentary knowledge of beermaking and a functioning knowledge of stats.

Advanced zymurgy (what the cool kids call it) books read like a chemistry text. Alpha acids...and assorted other greek symbols and formulas (hey, I said it was rudimentary knowledge) make for very dry reading (but far better than any of Charlie Papizan's 'books').

At least there's a story behind t-distributions to immerse the students with; it wouldn't grasp people's attention if it were to involve, say, how soapmakers discovered how to make Ivory float, for instance.

 
At 5:58 PM, Blogger christopher uggen said...

thanks, mike. my colleague joe gerteis wins awards for his beer, but i chalked it up to his superior knowledge of theory rather than his good stats skills.

 
At 11:11 PM, Blogger Kim said...

Hmmm. If Gertais brews good beer because of his theory, what does it say about the sociology of us good beer drinkers? (I used to be a first-rate bottle-filler, if I may say so myself, but now that we're a three-keg household, my skills have pretty much been rendered obsolete.)

 
At 1:50 PM, Anonymous chris said...

lucky, kim! i haven't lived in a three-keg household since age 19 -- a fine year on madison's mifflin street.

 
At 2:38 AM, Blogger Freudian Slip said...

Making and drinking your own beer is quite rewarding! I would definitely suggest you get into it if its something you are considering it. Its pretty neat all of the different ways you can make it too.
Matt

 
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